Last week, NAR reported that existing home sales declined in June to an annual rate of 4.2 million. The question I’ve been getting lately is whether we’ve turned the corner on home sales....
Continue ReadingLast week, NAR reported that existing home sales declined in June to an annual rate of 4.2 million. The question I’ve been getting lately is whether we’ve turned the corner on home sales....
Continue ReadingSomewhere about this time last summer, I did a video where we pointed out that it looked like the US housing market could have a soft landing in 2023. Any time you use the phrase “soft...
Continue ReadingThis week, new pending home sales prices are at a new high for the year, and just fractionally below last year at this time. This is a remarkable development given how dramatically home...
Continue ReadingWhat will it take for inventory of homes to build for the second half of the year? If mortgage rates climb, demand will slow and inventory will build up, like it did in September and...
Continue ReadingWe’re seeing encouraging purchase signals this week even as mortgage rates have stabilized around 7%. Available inventory of unsold single family homes rose 2% this week; last year it rose...
Continue ReadingWhile we still hear anecdotes about multiple offer scenarios in much of the country, and inventory is still super tight, we’re starting to see a slight slowdown in the sales rate, and a few...
Continue ReadingWe’ve been reporting for a few weeks about how the real estate market is reacting to mortgage rates around 7%. It seems pretty clear that sales volume has dipped as rates have moved up....
Continue ReadingIn this week's market update, I look at the phenomenon of "shadow demand." One of the persistent bearish arguments over the years has been that we have “shadow inventory” of sellers -...
Continue ReadingBy now it’s no secret that the US real estate market in 2023 has been more resilient than anyone expected at the beginning of the year. But it’s also important to note that mortgage rates...
Continue ReadingIs the debt ceiling mess in Congress the one thing that will derail the housing market this year? Even at these relatively high mortgage rates, there are more buyers than sellers. While...
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