What will it take for inventory of homes to build for the second half of the year? If mortgage rates climb, demand will slow and inventory will build up, like it did in September and...
Continue ReadingWhat will it take for inventory of homes to build for the second half of the year? If mortgage rates climb, demand will slow and inventory will build up, like it did in September and...
Continue ReadingWe’re seeing encouraging purchase signals this week even as mortgage rates have stabilized around 7%. Available inventory of unsold single family homes rose 2% this week; last year it rose...
Continue ReadingWhile we still hear anecdotes about multiple offer scenarios in much of the country, and inventory is still super tight, we’re starting to see a slight slowdown in the sales rate, and a few...
Continue ReadingWe’ve been reporting for a few weeks about how the real estate market is reacting to mortgage rates around 7%. It seems pretty clear that sales volume has dipped as rates have moved up....
Continue ReadingIn this week's market update, I look at the phenomenon of "shadow demand." One of the persistent bearish arguments over the years has been that we have “shadow inventory” of sellers -...
Continue ReadingBy now it’s no secret that the US real estate market in 2023 has been more resilient than anyone expected at the beginning of the year. But it’s also important to note that mortgage rates...
Continue ReadingIs the debt ceiling mess in Congress the one thing that will derail the housing market this year? Even at these relatively high mortgage rates, there are more buyers than sellers. While...
Continue ReadingOne way to measure supply and demand in residential real estate is to track what Altos calls the "immediate sales." These are the homes that get listed and take offers immediately, often...
Continue ReadingAvailable inventory of homes on the market actually fell this week as American home buyers continue to defy expectations. Even as difficult affordability curtails some demand, new supply...
Continue ReadingI’ve been talking about how this is a supply constrained market... and finally now at the end of April as we see a little more inventory, the good news is that we’re seeing more purchases...
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