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Mid-Year Housing Market Signals for the Rest of 2023
By Mike Simonsen on July 5, 2023

What will it take for inventory of homes to build for the second half of the year? If mortgage rates climb, demand will slow and inventory will build up, like it did in September and...

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Signs that homebuyers have adjusted to high mortgage rates
By Mike Simonsen on June 26, 2023

We’re seeing encouraging purchase signals this week even as mortgage rates have stabilized around 7%. Available inventory of unsold single family homes rose 2% this week; last year it rose...

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Are high mortgage rates finally impacting demand?
By Mike Simonsen on June 19, 2023

While we still hear anecdotes about multiple offer scenarios in much of the country, and inventory is still super tight, we’re starting to see a slight slowdown in the sales rate, and a few...

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Home sales have slowed, but home prices are holding up
By Mike Simonsen on June 12, 2023

We’ve been reporting for a few weeks about how the real estate market is reacting to mortgage rates around 7%. It seems pretty clear that sales volume has dipped as rates have moved up....

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Are We Seeing Shadow Demand for Homes?
By Mike Simonsen on June 5, 2023

In this week's market update, I look at the phenomenon of "shadow demand." One of the persistent bearish arguments over the years has been that we have “shadow inventory” of sellers -...

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How much do home buyers really care about 7% mortgage rates?
By Mike Simonsen on May 29, 2023

By now it’s no secret that the US real estate market in 2023 has been more resilient than anyone expected at the beginning of the year. But it’s also important to note that mortgage rates...

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How the Debt Ceiling Crisis Could Derail the Real Estate Market
By Mike Simonsen on May 22, 2023

Is the debt ceiling mess in Congress the one thing that will derail the housing market this year? Even at these relatively high mortgage rates, there are more buyers than sellers. While...

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The Unusual Supply and Demand Dynamics of Today’s Housing Market
By Mike Simonsen on May 15, 2023

One way to measure supply and demand in residential real estate is to track what Altos calls the "immediate sales." These are the homes that get listed and take offers immediately, often...

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Home Prices Inching Up Despite Difficult Affordability
By Mike Simonsen on May 8, 2023

Available inventory of homes on the market actually fell this week as American home buyers continue to defy expectations. Even as difficult affordability curtails some demand, new supply...

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Rising Inventory is Boosting Home Sales
By Mike Simonsen on May 1, 2023

I’ve been talking about how this is a supply constrained market... and finally now at the end of April as we see a little more inventory, the good news is that we’re seeing more purchases...

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