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How rising rates impact the housing market

By Mike Simonsen on March 30, 2022

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Mike Simonsen

A true data geek, Mike founded Altos Research in 2006 to bring data and insight on the U.S. housing market to those who need it most. The company now serves the largest Wall Street investment firms, banks, and tens of thousands of real estate professionals around the country.


What the market did in 2018 can serve as a guide for this year.


One of the biggest questions in real estate right now is how rising interest rates will impact the housing market. This used to be a pretty easy question to answer: when interest rates go up, it costs more to purchase a home, and demand drops. Price appreciation slows, and homes take longer to sell. More expensive money also meant fewer investors holding homes so inventory would climb too. 


This year, the numbers aren’t that straightforward.


The market has been so hot, many worry that rising rates will finally be the catalyst to pop the bubble. Yet, even as rates have begun to climb, homes are still flying off the market nearly three times faster than before the pandemic. The price of new listings continues to rise, which is a very bullish indicator for sales prices in the coming months. Americans have been lined up to buy homes for so long that increased costs haven’t deterred any demand… at least, not yet.


That being said, if interest rates continue to rise, we may see some small shifts in the market, and a short window of opportunity for eager buyers.


If you’d like a deeper dive on this topic, I encourage you to read my latest article for HousingWire entitled: “How rising rates impact the housing market.” If you’re not already an HW+ subscriber, you can use the promo code AltosResearch25 to get 25% off the subscription.

Click here to read the full article.

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