Trend Chart of the Day: REO Demand & Las Vegas Home Prices

August 15, 2011

by Scott Sambucci

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Is the housing market bifurcated or should all supply be considered part of a single housing market? Evidence is mounting that the market is the market – REOs and non-distressed properties cannot be isolated.

From Friday’s DSNews article – “Heavy Distress Sends Las Vegas Home Prices to 15-Year Low” –

Foreclosure resales – homes that had been foreclosed on in the prior 12 months – accounted for 57.5 percent of the Las Vegas resale market during the month, up from 45.2 percent a year earlier, the real estate tracking company reported…

…DataQuick says the heavy presence of investors and others paying cash, with their focus on lower-cost homes, helps explain why 41.1 percent of June sales were for less than $100,000.

Las Vegas: Real-time prices measured by "Price of New Listings" (black line) as a leading indicator of "Sold Prices" (green line). During the 2009-10 tax credit, Inventory (orange line) was constrained as distressed properties entered the foreclosure pipeline. In 2011, these homes are now hitting the open market and mixing with non-distressed properties for sale.

The data shows that REO demand in Phoenix and Las Vegas is affecting aggregate market price trends of the so-called “regular” market.  Prices are low, but stabilizing even with the increased inventory hitting the market – a result in the increased REO sale activity.

 

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